The Win Rate Illusion in Crypto Bots
If you look at the marketing pages of retail crypto bots, you will see the same metric repeated everywhere: "90% Win Rate."

Tommy Tietze is CEO of ArrowTrade AG, a Swiss fintech company based in Brig. With ArrowTrade, he develops unCoded, a self-hosted, non-custodial trading bot for Binance Spot. The product targets entrepreneurs and executives who want to use algorithmic crypto trading without needing technical expertise.
His focus is on the intersection between traditional entrepreneurship and crypto markets. How can capital-strong decision-makers capture crypto market opportunities without entrusting their assets to opaque platforms? unCoded follows a clear principle. No subscription fees. Full control over your own capital. A success-based model that only earns when the user earns.
Tommy writes about crypto strategy, smart money, and the questions that founders and investors actually wrestle with. Trust. Control. Building wealth in volatile markets.
If you look at the marketing pages of retail crypto bots, you will see the same metric repeated everywhere: "90% Win Rate."
Every retail trader learns about moving averages in their first week. They are taught to watch the 50-day and 200-day lines. They wait for the lines to.
The pitch for copy-trading is highly effective: find a profitable trader, click a button, mirror their setups, and collect the same returns. It promises.
In crypto, prices don't just fall. Sometimes, they collapse vertically. You have probably seen charts where Bitcoin or an altcoin drops 15% in a single.
Most traders focus on the chart. They see a breakout, a crossing moving average, or a perfect RSI level. They assume they can buy at the exact price on.
The crypto market does not only move on data. It moves on emotion. One week, people are afraid that Bitcoin is finished again. The next week, the same.
A portfolio with twelve coins can still be one trade. That sounds exaggerated until Bitcoin drops five percent and every altcoin on the screen turns red.
Most traders spend weeks thinking about what to buy. Then they enter the trade with the first order button they see. That is where a lot of performance.
Switzerland has a strong reputation in crypto. That reputation is deserved in many areas. The country has serious builders, clear institutions.
Crypto is moving into the same world as bank accounts, securities accounts and payment platforms. For years, many traders treated crypto reporting like.
A crypto portfolio can look diversified on paper and still behave like one single trade. Ten coins. Five sectors. Different narratives. AI, DeFi, Layer 2.
Most traders meet MACD very early. It is already there in almost every charting tool. It looks clean, it is easy to add, and at first glance it feels more.